Splitting the Web Markets
I’ve been looking into the web, trying to figure out what it’s going to look like in a few years. I’m still looking at various scopes, but I decided to analyze some of the more generalized markets that we have right now. You’re not going to find anything new here, just 5 areas of the web we will see changes in, and the coming monetization of the web.
Infrastructure = Hosting & ISP’s
Data Resources = Data
Data Access & Storage Protocols = API’s
Services = Applications that modify the Data through use of API’s to provide a value
Directories = Provide the ability to find what you’re looking for quite rapidly, can be pseudo-static or dynamic.
Each of these different markets can and most likely will be monetized within the coming years, most likely coming from the users themselves. Hosting & ISP’s have already done it. Directories that aren’t fully dynamic can do it with advertising, and even some of the dynamic real-time directories will be able to use the advertising model. The Data & DASP’s will be subsidized, for the most part, by the initial service’s charges, or possibly the service will be subsidized by external developers paying for access to the data, or just the data itself.
The benefits we will see is that our data is more stable, at least in the sense that the company isn’t going to go belly up, services should be better, and there will be more positions, hopefully. We all walked around expecting everything to be free, when we should have been asking how can we help make more services. Maybe the free world was just the accelerant for innovation to get the initial business models developed, promote an open generation, and allow everyone a shot at getting their ideas out there, it’s easier to pick up users, for a simple service, when you’re not charging them after all. The problem that we had with free is that we all became so jaded by it.
Focus on one of these markets and how you can change it. Each one is easily branched into another, you can traverse up or down that list from where you started. Look at Google, they exist in each of these markets. They started with a DASP that collected vast amounts of Data, then used initially used this data to create a Directory Service, along with quite a few other services, one of which is AppEngine which exists to share their infrastructure.
As the web evolves we’ll see these markets split and converge on each other time and time again, we may even see a new general market pop up. Just as an example of the splitting a market look at the services, there are so many sub-markets that exist within it that it would be hard to categorize them. For an example of convergence you just have to look at the various projects being developed to better connect the web, one of the most recent one’s to pop into my radar is Salmon, which is working to pull comments back to the original source and re-disperse them with the source feeds. Time to watch the ebb and flow, and maybe enter one or more of these markets.
Thoughts are Evolutionary: The Idea for Arclings
Do you really want to keep pushing ideas out, but have problems fleshing the concept out fully? Or maybe you just want to express the basis of an idea really quick, get feedback, and iterate. The problem with current systems is it’s hard to keep track of the evolution, if you post a lot of other stuff around it.
Micro-blogging lets you throw the idea out there, but doesn’t allow much room for the idea to evolve, or tracking this evolution.
Blogging in the conventional sense is much too concrete(though I’m doing it right now). I find the preconception of blogging to be you must push out a full thought. Why?
I propose a release quick, release often blogging structure and build arc’s as your story develops, making branching trees using link structures. Let the ideas build over weeks, or months, rather than waiting for one single burst of insight, and fleshing it out on the spot.
I propose using story arcs, along with links to the latest preceding events in the evolution, and trackbacks to the succeeding story events. Though this is possible in the current evolution of blogging systems, it’s complicated. I want an Arcling platform that makes the connection process easy, if not intelligent in managing the tracing of the structure.
10 Resolutions For 2010
Resolutions never turn out successful for me so I’m going to make 10 and hope for a 70% completion by December 31, 2010.
10. Build up my portfolio, while I’m unemployed.
It’s time I start building the base for where I plan on going. If you don’t have the foundation constructed first, everything you build will crumble or be extremely unmaintainable.
9. Find a Job
I’ve been looking even for the most basic job, just to bring money in, to know avail. May start doubling down on this, but at this point I’m stuck were I am, and the job market here is dead.
8. Go back to school
This is one I’m tempted to forget about automatically, but I’ll give it another shot in the fall if something has set itself up by then.
7. Set up a blog on Education
It’s one of the things that always gets me going.
6. Write a text on the Failure of the US Government
I want to see a future, and the actions of the government for the most part since before I was born is working to destroy the country. The infrastructure is failing and preparing to head off the cliff.
5. Post here at least once a week
I need to keep my writing fresh, active discussion keeps the mind fresh.
4. Open back up to the Social Media World
I used to be everywhere, but the past 8 months it’s been predominantly FriendFeed. I plan on moving back out to Twitter, Digg, Stumbleupon, and new sites.
3. Comment Natively
I rarely comment on posts I read, especially on the smaller blogs I read. I want to change this, because I know how much it sucks
2. Release My Product & Maintain it
This one’s guaranteed, it’s just a matter of making sure I maintain it and build the application tree out in a maintainable fashion.
1. Keep on Learning
The number one thing on my list every year, an idle mind is a wasted mind. I want to learn and become fluent in at least 6 different things.
